Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Day 10

Today is loss #2 and again the root cause of it is uncertainty.

Yesterday, I made my prediction that a buy recommendation would be profitable if Apple started in the low 90s pre-market and there was no major news announcements. This morning pre-market was mid 90s. So what did I do? I went ahead with my recommendation, which was completely stupid because I was acting without any insight.

To make matters worse, Apple dipped down to $92 (which was my recommendation), and then shot up to $99. I sold on the way up back to $95 because I wasn't expecting the huge jump to $99.

Again this is a perfect example of having your timing off which results you in always being 1 step behind from the market.

I feel a new rule coming.

10/28/2008 AAPL SELL 100 $94.4624
10/28/2008 AAPL BUY 100 $95.15
LOSS: -$68.76

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